ETH Falls 8.12% This Week: Only 27 of 200 Weeks Were Weaker

Down 8.12% in a week, ETH closes at 2504.34 USDT

ETHUSDT moved from 2725.71 USDT to 2504.34 USDT this week, a weekly decline of 8.12%, ranking 173rd out of 200 weekly samples and sitting in the back half of the sample. October 7 fell 4.58% in a single day and October 8 fell another 3.84%, two red candles that fully erased the 1.48% gain on October 4. For anyone trading ETH contracts, the point is not how much it fell but how: there was almost no meaningful bounce in between, with October 9 and October 10 gaining only 0.5% and 0.72% respectively, leaving the price at 2504.34 USDT, still short of the 2725.71 USDT at the start of the week.

How each day moved

Date	Open	Close	Change
2026-10-03	2667.29 USDT	2686.01 USDT	0.7%
2026-10-04	2686.01 USDT	2725.71 USDT	1.48%
2026-10-05	2725.71 USDT	2708.69 USDT	-0.62%
2026-10-06	2708.69 USDT	2696.45 USDT	-0.45%
2026-10-07	2696.45 USDT	2572.88 USDT	-4.58%
2026-10-08	2572.87 USDT	2474.01 USDT	-3.84%
2026-10-09	2474.02 USDT	2486.41 USDT	0.5%
2026-10-10	2486.4 USDT	2504.34 USDT	0.72%

Only two days really set the direction. October 7 dropped from 2696.45 USDT to 2572.88 USDT, a 4.58% decline; October 8 then fell from 2572.87 USDT to 2474.01 USDT, a 3.84% decline. Together they broke straight through the 2725.71 USDT close from October 4. The two small red candles on October 5 and October 6 fell only 0.62% and 0.45%, but the direction had already turned, and the two large declines simply accelerated the pace. October 9 opened at 2474.02 USDT and closed at 2486.41 USDT, up 0.5%; October 10 opened at 2486.4 USDT and closed at 2504.34 USDT, up 0.72%. Both bounces were small, bringing the price back to 2504.34 USDT, still below the 2667.29 USDT open on October 3. In short, the week's decline was completed in two days, and the rest was digestion.

Where it stands among 200 weeks

According to the Binance official API weekly sample, ETHUSDT has 200 weeks in total, with 172 weeks stronger than this one, ranking 173rd and sitting in the back half of the sample. Most historical weeks were more volatile than this one, so this is not an extreme move.

Compare with earlier weeks from the fact pack. The week of 2022-12-12 moved from 1262.43 USDT to 1182.45 USDT, down 6.34%; the week of 2022-12-19 moved from 1182.45 USDT to 1217.96 USDT, up 3%; the week of 2022-12-26 moved from 1217.97 USDT to 1199.96 USDT, down 1.48%. Further out, the week of 2023-01-02 rose 7.47%, the week of 2023-01-09 moved from 1289.64 USDT to 1553.47 USDT, up 20.46%, and the week of 2023-01-16 rose 4.81%. The week of 2024-11-04 moved from 2457.3 USDT to 3185.19 USDT, up 29.62%; the week of 2025-05-05 moved from 1807.87 USDT to 2513.48 USDT, up 39.03%; the week of 2026-08-17 moved from 1875.21 USDT to 2462.58 USDT, up 31.32%. All of these were more extreme than this week's 8.12%, in both directions. Ranking 173rd and landing in the back half means this was a weak week, but still some distance from the worst on record.

What popular posts on the Square say

Popular posts on the Square argue that ETH returning above 2500 USDT is a sign of short-term sentiment repair and that bullish momentum remains, citing two consecutive green closes on October 9 and October 10 that lifted the price from around 2474.01 USDT to 2504.34 USDT (paraphrased, not the view of this site). Some posts also note that after the two large red candles on October 7 and October 8, there was no further breakdown, suggesting support below.

Placed next to the daily data, the only confirmable facts are the prices themselves: two small green candles, gains of 0.5% and 0.72%, and a close at 2504.34 USDT. Claims like "momentum remains" are expectations about what comes next, not events that have already happened. Popular posts can serve as a sample of market sentiment, but not as conclusions.

Three honest points

First, gaps feel larger in contracts. October 8 opened at 2572.87 USDT while October 7 closed at 2572.88 USDT, nearly identical; October 9 opened at 2474.02 USDT while the prior day closed at 2474.01 USDT, also nearly identical. When prices move lower continuously, holders feel more volatility than the daily percentage suggests, because positions carry leverage.

Second, high leverage offers no buffer in a week like this. October 7 fell 4.58% and October 8 fell 3.84%, both in the same direction with no room for a counter-trade in between. Leverage magnifies the same price move, and when the direction is wrong, losses come much faster than in spot.

Third, funding rates and long-short structure do not warn you about turning points in advance. October 9 rose 0.5% and October 10 rose 0.72%, both small bounces that say nothing on their own about a reversal. As for the "best week" label, it is always a conclusion reached in hindsight; no one knows in advance that a given week will rank 173rd.

How the fees work

The Binance contract default maker fee is 0.02% and the default taker fee is 0.05%. With a 20% rebate ratio, the effective maker fee after rebate is 0.016% and the effective taker fee after rebate is 0.04%. These three figures are a fixed fee structure, unrelated to price direction, and apply the same way to longs and shorts.

Source: https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/exchangeInfo

Data as of 2026-10-11; source: Binance official API. Not investment advice.

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