COIN falls 0.37% this week: only 16 of 36 weeks were weaker

A 0.37% weekly drop that still sits in the back half

The FSB warning that cross-border stablecoin regulation remains incomplete has put stablecoin compliance risk back in focus, and crypto-finance and payment names are often the first to be repriced. COINUSDT closed the week down 0.37%, ranking 20th out of a 36-week sample, with 16 weeks weaker than this one. For traders on USDT-margined equity perpetuals, the number itself is small, but its position matters: it sits in the back half of the sample, meaning most of the past 36 weeks were stronger.

How the daily bars moved: three down days, then three up days

Date	open	close	change
2026-10-05	186.85 USDT	187.91 USDT	0.57%
2026-10-06	187.91 USDT	186.51 USDT	-0.75%
2026-10-07	186.5 USDT	179.37 USDT	-3.82%
2026-10-08	179.36 USDT	173.44 USDT	-3.3%
2026-10-09	173.44 USDT	180.33 USDT	3.97%
2026-10-10	180.33 USDT	181.1 USDT	0.43%
2026-10-11	181.11 USDT	183.32 USDT	1.22%
2026-10-12	183.33 USDT	182.65 USDT	-0.37%

The two days to watch are 10-07 and 10-08. On 10-07, price fell from 186.5 USDT to 179.37 USDT, down 3.82%; on 10-08, it fell from 179.36 USDT to 173.44 USDT, down 3.3%. Two consecutive down days pushed the week's opening 186.85 USDT down to 173.44 USDT. Then 10-09 rebounded 3.97% to close at 180.33 USDT, and 10-10 and 10-11 added 0.43% and 1.22%, bringing price back to 183.32 USDT. On 10-12 it closed at 182.65 USDT, down 0.37%. The down days were concentrated early in the week, the up days mid-to-late week, and the final day gave back a little. COINUSDT listed on 2026-02-09 as a USDT-margined equity perpetual, so the sample is not long, but it already shows the pattern: a first hit, then a repair, rather than a fresh breakout.

The 19 stronger weeks, and where they got their gains

Stronger week start	open	close	change
2026-02-09	164.79 USDT	165.84 USDT	0.64%
2026-02-16	165.87 USDT	170.65 USDT	2.88%
2026-02-23	170.54 USDT	175.5 USDT	2.91%
2026-03-02	175.6 USDT	192.51 USDT	9.63%
2026-03-09	192.41 USDT	198.13 USDT	2.97%
2026-03-30	160.2 USDT	174.7 USDT	9.05%
2026-04-13	165.71 USDT	201.21 USDT	21.42%
2026-04-20	201.25 USDT	201.31 USDT	0.03%
2026-05-04	193.04 USDT	203.47 USDT	5.4%
2026-05-25	189.36 USDT	190.58 USDT	0.64%
2026-06-08	156.14 USDT	166.61 USDT	6.71%
2026-06-29	149.07 USDT	174.48 USDT	17.05%
2026-07-13	158.42 USDT	159.86 USDT	0.91%
2026-07-20	159.86 USDT	162.78 USDT	1.83%
2026-08-03	147.54 USDT	154.39 USDT	4.64%
2026-08-17	149.28 USDT	188.36 USDT	26.18%
2026-08-31	179.15 USDT	187.54 USDT	4.68%
2026-09-14	171.97 USDT	195.42 USDT	13.64%
2026-09-21	195.43 USDT	195.99 USDT	0.29%

Among these 19 weeks, the strongest was 2026-08-17, from 149.28 USDT to 188.36 USDT, up 26.18%; next was 2026-04-13, from 165.71 USDT to 201.21 USDT, up 21.42%; 2026-06-29 rose 17.05% from 149.07 USDT to 174.48 USDT; and 2026-09-14 rose 13.64% from 171.97 USDT to 195.42 USDT. Several weeks were only slightly positive: 2026-04-20 up 0.03%, 2026-09-21 up 0.29%, 2026-02-09 up 0.64%, 2026-05-25 up 0.64%, and 2026-07-13 up 0.91%. All of them were stronger than this week, but not by much. This week ranks 20th out of 36 weeks including itself, in the back half of the sample. In other words, it is not especially bad, but 16 weeks were weaker and 19 were stronger, leaving it just past the middle.

What the Square discussion says

Square discussion says the FSB warning about incomplete cross-border stablecoin regulation is less about stablecoin prices and more about the lack of a unified compliance standard, which adds uncertainty to how crypto-finance and payment names are valued (relayed, not the site's view). Some posts group COINUSDT, MSTRUSDT, HOODUSDT, and PYPLUSDT together, noting they are all USDT-margined equity perpetuals and tend to move together on regulatory headlines, even though their fundamentals differ. Others note that when stablecoin compliance risk rises, the market first watches how payment and custody firms respond rather than setting a direction for the whole sector. These are just Square discussions, not confirmed facts, so separate opinion from data.

Three honest points

First, gaps matter on USDT-margined equity perpetuals. In COINUSDT's daily bars, 10-07 opened at 186.5 USDT and closed at 179.37 USDT, leaving little time to react when overnight news hits.

Second, high leverage amplifies this. The week fell only 0.37%, but 10-07 fell 3.82% and 10-08 fell 3.3%; a full position would feel much worse than the weekly number suggests.

Third, when funding rates and regulatory headlines stack up, do not treat one week's rank as a direction signal. Ranking 20th in the back half of the sample is a past statistic; the best week is a conclusion you only see in hindsight.

Fees

Binance's default maker fee is 0.02% and default taker fee is 0.05%. After a 20% rebate, the effective maker fee is 0.016% and the effective taker fee is 0.04%. These are fee figures, unrelated to price moves; size your activity against this cost.

Source: https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/exchangeInfo

Data as of 2026-10-12; source: Binance official API. Not investment advice.