NEAR Falls 13.44% This Week: 174 of 200 Weekly Samples Were Stronger
NEARUSDT closed the week at 4.661 USDT from a 5.385 USDT open, down 13.44%, with 174 of 200 weekly samples stronger.
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NEAR closed the week weak. NEARUSDT moved from a 2026-09-28 open of 5.385 USDT to 4.661 USDT on 2026-10-03, a weekly decline of 13.44%. Across 200 weekly samples, 174 weeks were stronger than this one, placing it in the weaker part of the sample. For contract traders the useful question is not the size of the drop but where positioning goes after it, since the price move is already done while the positions are still on the board.
How the days actually ran
The daily line was not smooth. On 9-25 price opened at 4.59 USDT and closed at 4.948 USDT, up 7.8%; 9-26 closed at 5.036 USDT, up 1.78%; 9-27 closed at 5.386 USDT, up 6.93%, three rising days in a row. Then 9-28 turned: from 5.385 USDT to 4.819 USDT, down 10.51%. On 9-29 it recovered to 4.883 USDT, up 1.31%; 9-30 pushed to 5.339 USDT, up 9.34%. On 10-01 it fell 10.04% to 4.803 USDT, and on 10-02 it closed at 4.661 USDT, down 2.98%.
| Date | Open | Close | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 4.59 USDT | 4.948 USDT | 7.8% |
| 2026-09-26 | 4.948 USDT | 5.036 USDT | 1.78% |
| 2026-09-27 | 5.037 USDT | 5.386 USDT | 6.93% |
| 2026-09-28 | 5.385 USDT | 4.819 USDT | -10.51% |
| 2026-09-29 | 4.82 USDT | 4.883 USDT | 1.31% |
| 2026-09-30 | 4.883 USDT | 5.339 USDT | 9.34% |
| 2026-10-01 | 5.339 USDT | 4.803 USDT | -10.04% |
| 2026-10-02 | 4.804 USDT | 4.661 USDT | -2.98% |
Three days tell the story. The 9-27 close of 5.386 USDT was the highest close in this stretch, and one day later 9-28 fell 10.51%, giving back most of the prior three days. The 9-30 gain of 9.34% to 5.339 USDT looked like a recovery, then 10-01 fell 10.04% to 4.803 USDT. Two double-digit down days around one bounce is a structure that punishes both chasing and dip buying.
Where this week ranks
The NEARUSDT weekly sample holds 200 weeks, and 174 were stronger than this one, with the week down 13.44%. The stronger weeks point in different directions: the week of 2023-01-09 ran from 1.646 USDT to 2.242 USDT, up 36.21%; 2023-12-18 from 2.268 USDT to 3.803 USDT, up 67.68%; 2024-03-11 from 5.955 USDT to 8.25 USDT, up 38.54%; 2025-11-03 from 2.189 USDT to 3.073 USDT, up 40.38%; 2026-05-18 from 1.507 USDT to 2.394 USDT, up 58.86%; 2026-09-14 from 2.297 USDT to 4.166 USDT, up 81.37%; and 2026-09-21 from 4.166 USDT to 5.386 USDT, up 29.28%.
| Stronger week start | Open | Close | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-09 | 1.646 USDT | 2.242 USDT | 36.21% |
| 2023-12-18 | 2.268 USDT | 3.803 USDT | 67.68% |
| 2024-03-11 | 5.955 USDT | 8.25 USDT | 38.54% |
| 2025-11-03 | 2.189 USDT | 3.073 USDT | 40.38% |
| 2026-05-18 | 1.507 USDT | 2.394 USDT | 58.86% |
| 2026-09-14 | 2.297 USDT | 4.166 USDT | 81.37% |
| 2026-09-21 | 4.166 USDT | 5.386 USDT | 29.28% |
Some stronger weeks went down as well: 2023-08-14 ran from 1.339 USDT to 1.167 USDT, down 12.85%, and 2026-06-22 from 2.101 USDT to 1.833 USDT, down 12.76%. So stronger in this sample covers both large gains and smaller losses, and this week's 13.44% decline sits behind them.
What the trending posts say
Trending posts on Square argue that NEAR's slide to about 4.70 dollars, more than 14% below the daily high, is a fast intraday pullback that looks closer to panic than to a confirmed trend (relayed, not this site's view). The discussion centers on two things: the drop came after a run of gains, so profit taking is visible, and attention is on contract funding flows after the fall, especially whether funding and open interest turn with it. Some posts caution that a large single-day drop does not settle direction, since 9-28 and 10-01 each fell and each was followed by a bounce. These are Square discussions, not established facts.
Three things easy to miss
Gaps and wicks appeared more than once. On 9-28 price went from 5.385 USDT to 4.819 USDT, and on 10-01 from 5.339 USDT to 4.803 USDT; both bodies were long, so a market order inside the move could fill far from the close, and stops swept before price returns are common here.
High leverage suffers most. The week fell 13.44% but contained a 9.34% bounce on 9-30; being wrong once and then hit by the bounce doubles the damage. The higher the leverage, the less room for the daily swings this stretch produced, so sizing matters more than direction calls.
Funding shows who pays, not where price goes. After a fast drop funding can shift as one side crowds, but that shift does not determine the next candle. And the best weeks are conclusions in hindsight: 2026-09-14 rose 81.37% and 2026-09-21 rose 29.28%, both obvious only afterward.
On fees
Binance's default maker fee is 0.02% and the default taker fee is 0.05%. With a 20% rebate, the effective maker fee is 0.016% and the effective taker fee is 0.04%. At that tier a taker round trip costs 0.04%, and short-term trading stacks that cost into the result.
Source: https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/exchangeInfo Data as of 2026-10-03; source: Binance official endpoint. Not investment advice.
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Binance is not available in your region. What follows is not a centralized exchange โ it is a different kind of product that you can use:
๐ Binance Web3
A self-custody wallet inside the Binance app; swaps route through on-chain DEX aggregation, not an exchange account
Bind via our link and wallet swap fees drop 30%. On-chain gas and slippage are not covered by the discount.
You must already be a verified Binance user to create a Binance Wallet (official FAQ Q13); wallet referrals and exchange referrals are two separate systems. Zero-fee pairs such as stablecoin swaps generate no rebatable fee.